Mushuc Runa vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
7º
3
10º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 29 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 26 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 18 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 15 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
8% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
MUS
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
MUS
15%
21%
65%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 0
BSC
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
UCE
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 1
EME
4%
11%
85%
|
79 | 17 | 62 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EME
0 - 0
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IMB
1 - 2
EME
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |