Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 2
MUS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 1
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 3
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MUS
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 2
MUS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
CUE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
3 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 4
LIG
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |