Mushuc Runa vs Cumbayá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
6º
1
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 23 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 22 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 20 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 16 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
2 - 3
MUS
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
MUS
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
MUS
15%
21%
65%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 0
BSC
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
IVT
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
TEC
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 0
DEL
20%
25%
54%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |