Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
8º
3º
13
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 19 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 15 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
11.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 90.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
ORE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 2
MUS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UCE
5 - 1
MUS
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MUS
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
IVT
26%
28%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 1
EME
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
IVT
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |