Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
ORE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 2
MUS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UCE
5 - 1
MUS
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MUS
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
IVT
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TEC
3 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
DEL
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
CAL
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |