Mushuc Runa vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 2
EME
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
IVT
4 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 1
LOJ
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
CUE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BSC
3 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
UCE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 1
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
EME
2 - 1
NAC
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |