Mushuc Runa vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 2
EME
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
MUS
4 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
OLM
1 - 1
MUS
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MUS
3 - 4
TEC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
LDU
2 - 2
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 0
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
DEL
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FAM
3 - 0
AME
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |