Mushuc Runa vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MUS
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 1
LDU
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 0
MUS
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
MUS
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 2
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
AME
0 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
IMB
1 - 1
AME
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
AME
3 - 2
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
AME
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 3
OLM
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |