Musanze FC vs Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musanze FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
ETI
1 - 3
MUS
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MUS
2 - 4
ASK
44%
28%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ETI
1 - 2
MUS
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -7 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 1
MUH
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 0
GIC
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
ASK
2 - 0
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POL
5 - 1
ETI
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BUG
1 - 3
POL
24%
28%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -15 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
BUG
3 - 1
POL
22%
28%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
POL
0 - 2
ASK
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |