Musanze FC vs Étoile de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musanze FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 0
APR
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 0
MUS
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MUK
3 - 2
MUS
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 0
GFC
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Étoile de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
EDE
1 - 1
GIC
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
POL
6 - 0
EDE
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
EDE
2 - 0
ASK
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
GFC
2 - 3
EDE
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
EDE
0 - 0
KIY
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |