Musanze FC vs Etincelles FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musanze FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
POL
2 - 1
MUS
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 1
POL
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
ETI
1 - 3
MUS
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MUS
2 - 4
ASK
44%
28%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ETI
1 - 2
MUS
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -7 |
Matches
Etincelles FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
ETI
2 - 1
ASK
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
ASK
2 - 1
ETI
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
ETI
1 - 3
MUS
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POL
5 - 1
ETI
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ETI
1 - 2
MUS
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -4 |