Musanze FC vs Amagaju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musanze FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
GFC
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
KIY
3 - 1
MUS
41%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 0
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Amagaju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
EDE
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
POL
2 - 0
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
BUG
46%
28%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
AMA
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |