Musan Salama vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 3
FCJ
9%
17%
74%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 2
MUS
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
MUS
0 - 5
HAM
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
PII
1 - 2
MUS
86%
11%
4%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 3
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NAR
4 - 2
SPO
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
TPV
4 - 0
NAR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 0
AIF
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
FCJ
1 - 4
NAR
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NAR
4 - 2
HAM
35%
25%
41%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |