Musan Salama vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TPS
0 - 1
MUS
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 1
IKI
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 2
MUS
77%
14%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
MUS
3 - 2
FCJ
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MUS
2 - 3
LPA
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BK4
4 - 0
ILV
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
4 - 0
TPS
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
3 - 1
TPV
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
PII
1 - 1
ILV
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 0
TUT
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |