Musan Salama vs Harma Hameenlinna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
MUS
2 - 2
AIF
10%
17%
72%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 0
MUS
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AIF
4 - 0
MUS
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TUT
1 - 0
MUS
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 4
JAP
20%
21%
60%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Harma Hameenlinna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 6
FCJ
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PII
2 - 0
HAR
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 2
TPV
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
HAR
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 2
NAR
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +4 |