Muş Spor vs Dersim Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muş Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 0
MSF
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MSF
1 - 1
ASP
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
IGD
0 - 1
MSF
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MSF
1 - 3
BOS
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MSF
1 - 0
NDS
34%
29%
37%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Dersim Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
DER
1 - 3
CAT
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OYA
3 - 0
DER
51%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -3 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
DER
3 - 2
DAR
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DER
3 - 1
DER
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |