Muro vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+430%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 3
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 0
TOR
41%
27%
33%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 1
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
JOV
3 - 0
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 3
JOV
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 2
VIL
33%
26%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
NUC
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 1
VIL
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALI
90%
7%
2%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -1 |