Muro vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UDC
5 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
CUL
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 0
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
UEM
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PEG
3 - 2
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 2
PEG
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 2
BEN
16%
19%
66%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PEG
3 - 2
CUL
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 1
PEG
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |