Muro vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 4
ALZ
54%
23%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SAG
2 - 0
MUR
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ACE
1 - 4
MUR
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALZ
4 - 3
NOV
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAG
52%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 0
NOV
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
IZA
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |