Muro vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1074%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
MUR
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAN
54%
22%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SDS
1 - 0
MUR
54%
23%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 3
ONT
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 0
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
3 - 1
ALB
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 3
DEN
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
3 - 3
SPO
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UDC
2 - 1
DEN
66%
20%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
UDC
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |