Muro vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
PRO
29%
25%
46%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
MUR
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 4
SIA
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 0
MUR
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
CAN
55%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CUL
2 - 1
CTS
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CTS
1 - 1
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEG
0 - 0
CTS
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
UEM
0 - 0
CTS
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CTS
5 - 5
ALG
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |