Murlani vs Gramshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murlani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KKA
1 - 3
MUR
8%
14%
79%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
VOR
2 - 0
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 0
NAF
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ILI
3 - 3
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 0
GRA
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gramshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
TER
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
TEP
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 1
ADA
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 2
GRA
40%
21%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 1
SHE
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |