Murici vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 3
SDJ
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALA
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SER
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
SDJ
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |