Murici vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 2
JEC
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
3 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 3
ASA
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 1
MUR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
ARN
32%
25%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 1
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
BOC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |