Murici vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 1
MUR
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAM
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 1
COR
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |