Murici vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALA
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
ASA
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
SDJ
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
SDJ
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
SDJ
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |