Murici vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
CON
15%
23%
63%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 2
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSA
11%
22%
67%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAR
55%
21%
23%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 1
PEN
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
ASA
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEN
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
CSE
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |