Murici vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CRB
5 - 1
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 1
MUR
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
CSA
44%
28%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
2 - 1
MUR
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SSS
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
COR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
CEO
51%
24%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |