Murici vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
2 - 2
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
IPA
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSA
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSE
5 - 2
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSE
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
IPA
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASA
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSA
3 - 2
SAN
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |