Murici vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
JAC
0 - 2
MUR
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
CEO
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
MUR
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 0
ASA
23%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
CSA
4 - 0
MUR
82%
14%
4%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 3
PEL
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 3
JUV
17%
23%
59%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
SLU
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |