Murici vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSE
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 1
JUV
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATM
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |