Murici vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FLU
4 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
FLU
27%
26%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
CAM
20%
26%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FEC
2 - 1
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
FEC
0 - 4
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 0
FEC
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FEC
1 - 2
CAM
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FLU
5 - 0
FEC
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FEC
2 - 1
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |