Murici vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
62.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 2
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSA
11%
22%
67%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
35%
26%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAR
55%
21%
23%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
MUR
86%
11%
3%
|
38 | 79 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CON
4 - 0
ATG
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
CON
10%
18%
71%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
FFC
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |