Murici vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FEC
2 - 1
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
MUR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
DSA
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 1
ASA
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CSE
1 - 1
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
FLU
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
CRB
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAM
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
BOT
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 0
SPB
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |