Murici vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 2
ASA
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
CSE
2 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
CRB
7%
16%
77%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
SER
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 3
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
BAH
10%
21%
69%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |