Murici vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 0
MUR
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MUR
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 2
JEC
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 2
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
ARN
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
JEC
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
ARN
32%
25%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |