Alagoano Inicial Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Murici vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
CRB
7%
17%
76%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 1
COR
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 1
MUR
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 2
ASA
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CSA
4 - 0
MUR
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 1
GOI
6%
16%
78%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
ASA
12%
17%
71%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASA
2 - 0
AAL
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 2
ASA
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |