Murici vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
BAH
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 2
ASA
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
CSE
2 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
CRB
7%
16%
77%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ASA
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 0
ALA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 2
ASA
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ASA
5 - 1
COR
58%
22%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CEO
0 - 0
ASA
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |