Murici vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
CSE
2 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
CRB
7%
16%
77%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
AAL
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 3
JUV
12%
20%
69%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ASA
5 - 1
COR
58%
22%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CEO
0 - 0
ASA
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AAL
0 - 1
ASA
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ASA
2 - 2
CSA
10%
20%
71%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 0
CSE
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |