Murici vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ASA
3 - 1
CEO
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
ASA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 2
ASA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASA
0 - 0
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |