Murici vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 3
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASA
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |