Alagoano Inicial Copa Alagoas Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Murici vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
2 - 2
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
IPA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSA
44%
28%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
ASA
16%
22%
63%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 1
CEO
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
ASA
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASA
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |