Murici vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 2
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
CRB
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
COR
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 2
MUR
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CEO
2 - 0
MUR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ASA
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
4 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |