Murici vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
MUR
86%
11%
3%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 2
RFC
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
6 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
4 - 2
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 0
CAR
86%
11%
3%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CSE
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | +6 |