AS Muretaine vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Muretaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AUC
1 - 2
MUR
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FLB
0 - 1
MUR
18%
22%
59%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NIM
0 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
STA
0 - 1
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 2
FON
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 2
FON
45%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FON
0 - 2
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FON
1 - 0
TRE
31%
27%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |