Murense vs Xilvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
MUR
53%
23%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
UDA
36%
25%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
SSA
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SHO
3 - 1
MUR
39%
24%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
XIL
1 - 3
ESP
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
XIL
2 - 2
ALG
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
XIL
3 - 1
ART
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -7 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
XIL
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
XIL
1 - 1
SLL
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |