Murense vs UE Alcudia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PET
0 - 0
MUR
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 3
MUR
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
7 - 0
SCD
57%
21%
21%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CON
0 - 1
MUR
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALG
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UE Alcudia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
3 - 0
PLA
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
3 - 0
FER
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ACM
2 - 3
ALC
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
3 - 1
PDS
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SSA
3 - 3
ALC
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |