Murense vs Serverense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
UDA
36%
25%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
SSA
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SHO
3 - 1
MUR
39%
24%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MUR
7 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
MUR
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
ESP
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SSA
2 - 2
SER
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
CEX
58%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
SER
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |