Murense vs Serverense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
STM
1 - 4
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 3
SVE
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SJO
2 - 1
MUR
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
SIN
40%
25%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAR
30%
24%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
ALL
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
SER
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
UDR
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 2
SER
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
CMI
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |