Murense vs Santa Ponsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
XIL
2 - 1
MUR
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
34%
26%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 3
MUR
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDS
26%
25%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Ponsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
ESP
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
SPO
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 4
ALG
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 0
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
STA
31%
23%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |